Weekly Market Update: Is the SPY Recovery Real? Iran Tensions & PCE Data Loom Article written by Q. from Hyper Stocks Markets kicked off April on a high note as investors bought the dip and moved stocks off their 2026 lows. Both The Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 bounced back out of correction territory, and the S&P 500 managed to escape hitting its official correction level. Despite the efforts from buyers, bulls can’t get too comfortable yet. U.S.-Iran tensions escalated over the weekend, with increased aggression and threats from both sides. Iran shot down multiple U.S. aircraft, and Trump has given Iran yet another timeline to “end the war” by Tuesday evening, or he threatened to strike “every power plant,”...
Wild times we’re living in. The situation in Iran is evolving from a short conflict to a multi-week battle, and according to White House officials, American boots on the ground are being seriously considered. Another flash crash? For us stock market lovers, this means more volatility is ahead. The Volatility Index ($VIX) closed above 30.00 last week, the last time it did so was during Liberation Day in April of last year...which it then shot up to 60.00 when the market suffered a “flash crash” in reaction to newly introduced tariffs. Now, just one year later, the market is being tested again, this time with geopolitical warfare and extremely high oil prices. Who benefits from expensive oil and who does...
Weekly Stock Market Update & SPY Technical Analysis It became clear last week that The Federal Reserve is caught between a rock and a hard place. The Fed, who have a dual mandate to maintain price stability and maximize employment, now face the difficult task of balancing stubborn inflation against signs of a weakening labor market. The latest twist? A sharp rise in oil prices, which will ripple through the economy if sustained. But it’s not all bad. During his press conference last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell did tout the U.S. economy and its resilience against uncertainties. The Fed even revised their growth outlook for 2026, signaling that despite inflation and a slow hire / slow fire job market,...
Weekly Stock Market Update & SPY Technical Analysis A decisive week ahead for the market as investors await word from The Fed, who’s at a crossroads right now…having to stick to their dual mandate of promoting full employment and price stability during a time where geopolitical uncertainty is extremely high. The Dual Mandate: Lower interest rates can stimulate hiring and economic growth, but they also risk reigniting inflation.Higher rates help control inflation but can slow economic activity and weaken the labor market. These objectives often conflict, unfold over different timelines, and are further complicated by unpredictable global events such as pandemics, wars, and supply chain disruptions. Wars & Supply Chain Disruptions:Let’s be real…the war in Iran is somewhat of a...
Weekly Stock Market Update & SPY Technical Analysis The stock market Fear & Greed index is sinking closer to the “extreme fear” side as geopolitical tensions escalate. The ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran led to a historical spike in oil prices last week, if sustained at these prices, the economic impact could be detrimental. Why does oil matter so much?Without a consistent and predictable oil supply, fuel prices jump. Not just fuel for people to get to work, but fuel for planes, ships, cargo trucks…etc. This leads to inflation across the economy. With prices of goods and services already trending higher due to tariffs, this added layer of uncertainty holds a lot of weight. As oil prices...
