Full Truck Alliance (YMM)
Price target: Premium members only
Upcoming China and U.S. Talks
Chinese stocks listed on the American market have been hammered in recent months as uncertainty around Presidents Trump and Xi’s negotiations looms. Names like AliBaba, NIO, Baidu, Tencent…etc. have historically been volatile and underpriced compared to U.S. rivals. This is because American investors have long been reluctant to pay a higher premium for these stocks because they come equipped with higher risk.
Despite the billions that many Chinese companies make, the risk of Chinese regulatory changes, China-U.S. tensions, currency fluctuations, and China’s economy changes all make them a wild ride to hold. But we have traded these names for massive returns in the past, and it may be time to look into a few of them again. Full Truck Alliance is a name we’ve covered multiple times, and it is now trading at lows not seen since 2024. Now the company sits in “penny stock” territory, but they are performing far better than your average penny stock fundamentally.
Alliance Trucking's Main Objective:
Think of them as the “Uber of trucks” in China. They connect shippers to truckers, which makes it easy to for both parties. That company has 3.2 million active shippers and millions of truckers on their platform, which has also allowed them to expand into value added services like: insurance, credit/loans, fuel cards…etc.
Full Truck Alliance is one of the few players in the space doing what they do, which has allowed them to charge a premium for their service and generate a 35% net margin last year. Their balance sheet sits at +$5.91 billion in positive equity…making them attractive at $8.60 billion. The company’s book value per share is $5.5, which it is getting close to…any positive news about Trump and Xi’s meeting may spark a come back rally.
Risks to Consider:
We already mentioned the risks that come with buying and holding Chinese stocks, hence why we focus on trading them, not necessarily holding them for the long run. They move in cycles, right now they seem to be at the start of a new bullish one, but we’re selective on which names to buy and how much we do. Risks that are specific to YMM include a slowdown in trucking or rising competitors, specifically like JD.
Please note that the stock includes risks and price targets are subject to change based on market developments and company updates. These stocks usually take time to come around and the outlook may change. Trade at your own risk.
PENN Entertainment (PENN)
Current: 14.77
Price target: Premium members only
Sports Betting is on the Rise:
There’s a rapid rise in sports betting across the U.S. as regulatory measures ease and barriers to access ease. The U.S. sports betting market is expected to grow at a 10.9% compound annual growth rate through 2030, reaching $33 billion in revenue. The shift is not strictly in the U.S., global sports betting markets are expected to grow to $187.4 billion in revenue by 2030, equaling about a 11% CAGR (Grand View Research).
These numbers are small compared to be industries like technology, but they are still meaningful. Americans legally wagered more than $150 billion on sports in 2025 across legalized states, and continuous efforts by companies are expected to boost participation by 12% CAGR through 2032 in the online/mobile sports books. SOMEONE is benefitting from all this activity…it could be Vegas, it could be the sports hosts themselves, or it could be the obvious…the companies behind the entire movement. DraftKings, Penn Entertainment, Caesars…etc. have all seen a big revenue boost from sports betting activity, and as the Olympics, World Cup, and other sports events take place, the coming years are expected to be good for them.
Who's Really Winning:
Penn Entertainment stands out as a high risk high reward play in the sports betting industry. The company is a short-term / medium-term “turnaround” set-up, influenced by recent strong earnings performance and a better outlook. The company’s 2026 guidance calls for 20% adjusted EBIDTAR, this is a key valuation metric for a company like PENN because because it reflects the true operating power of its business before the impact of rent payments tied to its real estate and other non-cash accounting items.
For valuation purposes, casino operators are often valued on an EV/EBITDAR multiple. Even modest expansion in margin can meaningfully increase enterprise value. If revenue grows while margins expand toward 20%, that combination can create operating leverage, where earnings grow faster than sales, a powerful setup in a turnaround narrative.
Risks to Consider:
The stock’s performance hinges on their ability to deliver on their promises. PENN is not a safe “buy and forget” type trade…and it’s also subject to overall market volatility since it trades at a higher Beta.
Please note that the stock includes risks and price targets are subject to change based on market developments and company updates. These stocks usually take time to come around and the outlook may change. Trade at your own risk.
Members Only
Current: 27.54
Price target: 34.00-36.00
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Members Only
Current: 12.85
Price target: 19.00-20.00
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Members Only
Current: 692.00
Price target: 800+
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Members Only
Current: 66.48
Price target: 90.00-100.00
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Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of capital. Always conduct your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Hyper Stocks and its contributors may hold positions in some of the securities or assets mentioned above. These positions are subject to change without notice. Any opinions expressed reflect current views at the time of writing and are not guarantees of future performance. Past performance does not guarantee future results.